TonCoin (TON)

Date of Research: July 2024

The interest in Toncoin and The Open Network really exploded with its Q1 2024 integration with Telegram. Originally developed by the creators of Telegram, it was passed off after some legal troubles to independent developers who initially created the TON Foundation non-profit that seems to control most of the TON supply, has near-complete control over the governance decisions, and yet claims the blockchain is decentralized. There are serious concerns about scams on the Telegram platform by malicious actors using their mini-apps and direct P2P payments to trick people into sending money. Onboarding to TON is easy since it can be bought through the Telegram wallet itself, but offboarding is more challenging largely due to CEXes having less than 10% of the volume. As of summer 2024, the ecosystem is growing rapidly, but given the apparent behind-the-scenes centralization, concentration of liquidity, lack of coherent documentation, and ease of scamming, we can consider this token a high risk investment.

Fundamental Analysis

Website

https://ton.org/

Creation date: 2003-11-13; last updated Sept 11 2021

Whitepaper

https://docs.ton.org/learn/docs

https://ton.org/whitepaper.pdf

The whitepaper PDF was a paper likely written by Nikolai Durov before the changes made when the project became The Open Network. There does not seem to be a whitepaper explaining the changes that occurred after, however they have new documentation for developers.

Team

TonCoin was originally launched by the Telegram Messaging App founders Nikolai Durov and his brother Pavel Durov (the whitepaper claims to be based on Nikolai’s work but it’s speculated that he authored it). Telegram backed out of the project after some legal troubles in 2020 and the project was rebranded as The Open Network and taken over by:

  • Anatoliy Makosov, who began his career in game development before getting involved in blockchain.
  • Kirill Emelyanenko. Not much is known about him before his involvement in TON.

Funding

It was originally funded by an ICO run by Telegram but after some legal trouble that idea was canceled and the funds were returned. After it decentralized, there is conflicting information about how many funding rounds they have done, so we’ll only include here the rounds that are confirmed from multiple or seemingly reliable sources. The TONcoin Fund (seemingly raised before the TON Foundation—the current non-profit, centralized governing body—was registered) raised $250m in April 2022. The Fund still has a website that claims to use that $250m to invest in teams that are building on TON, and they claim to have supported a number of projects but no dollar amounts have been announced. Once the project was taken over by the TON Foundation, they held two funding rounds for an undisclosed amount:

  • May 2023 Venture Round had one investor – Mask Network
  • Oct 2023 Seed Round had two investors – FJ Labs and MEXC Ventures

Since then, at least one private venture (Pantera Capital) has invested in The Open Network, but we were not able to find any official documentation about their fundraising amounts. However, there is something called The Open League that is an “incentive program for TON users, teams and traders.” They claim to have distributed over $40m in Toncoin already. It’s not clear if or how they are connected to The Open Network Foundation.

Goals & Purpose

What is the goal of the project?

To be a “huge superserver” that can handle millions of transactions per second and a variety of services.

What problem is the project trying to solve?

Speed, primarily. For mass adoption, blockchains need to be able to process a vast amount of data and activity, and currently no blockchain is capable of that at scale.

How do they plan to solve the problem?

According to Durov’s whitepaper, short form: by native chain layering and sharding. Long form: By being a “blockchain of blockchains” composed of a master blockchain (masterchain) that contains the general information of the protocol and parameters etc. and the set of hashes of blocks of all the workchains and shardshains. Workchains contain the value-transfer and smart-contract transactions, and can each have different rules such as formats of addresses and transactions, virtual machines, etc., but have to meet certain interoperability criteria. Workchains are divided into shardchains which are responsible for a subset of accounts.

The recent documentation builds on this: The sharding is automatic based on the number of transactions in processing; more shards will be created as necessary, and they will be merged when no longer necessary. There is no fixed number of shards possible; rather there are 260 shards per worker chain theoretically possible.

Feasibility

Is this a new idea or has it been done before?

Ethereum, Near and Polkadot all use sharding, though in different ways. TON released a paper comparing “TON, Solana and Ethereum 2.0”. Toncoin uses sharding to divide its blockchain into smaller pieces, allowing it to process transactions quickly and efficiently. Near Protocol also uses a form of dynamic sharding called Nightshade, which adjusts the number of shards based on network demand to maintain high performance and low fees. Polkadot employs a unique approach with its multi-chain framework, where individual blockchains, or parachains, run in parallel and connect to a central relay chain, enhancing interoperability and scalability. And Ethereum splits the blockchain into multiple shards, each processing transactions and smart contracts in parallel. So, it’s not a new idea and has been done before.

Have they actually created the infrastructure/code/whatever is necessary for this idea, or is it still just an idea?

It is a functioning blockchain and thriving ecosystem.

Do you think other people would buy in?

Yes, they already have.

Audits & Security

  • Cyberscope: scored 88% Very Low Risk, Largest concern was “Can Burn”.
    • Burning tokens usually involves sending them to a public address that is unspendable, effectively removing them from circulation. It isn’t explained why it’s a risk, but including it as a concern could indicate:
      • Centralization Risks: If the burn function can be executed by a centralized party or without sufficient decentralization checks, it could lead to concerns over trust and control.
      • Unintended Usage: If not properly managed, the burn function could be misused, leading to unintended destruction of tokens.
      • Security Issues: The presence of a burn function might introduce potential vulnerabilities if not properly secured.
  • Certik Skynet: scored 92.37, largest concern is that the contract can mint tokens. This could be a concern because:
    • Inflation Risk: If new tokens can be minted without clear rules or limits, it could lead to inflation, reducing the value of existing tokens and harming holders’ investments.
    • Centralization and Trust: If a single entity or a small group has the power to mint new tokens, it centralizes control and requires trust in those parties to act in the best interests of the community. 
    • Economic Stability: Uncontrolled minting can lead to economic instability within the ecosystem, causing fluctuations in token value.
    • Security Concerns: The minting function can be a target for hackers. If exploited, attackers could create unlimited tokens, leading to significant financial losses.

Sentimental Analysis

Social media: Telegram, TON Foundation LinkedIn, X, GitHub

Social media creation date: 2021

Is it active? Y

Are people talking about the project off its own pages? Y

Is what they’re saying good or bad? It’s a mixture. People are very bullish about the integration with Telegram but a lot of people are saying the dev community is toxic and most of the activity on social media is spammy. Most of the activity seems to be projects marketing their mini-apps or bullish hype, but this could also be because it’s so new and there isn’t a lot of use-cases other than the game mini-apps yet.

Are the people engaging with it paid to (promotors, influencers, sponsors etc)? It doesn’t appear so, at least not by The Open Network itself, but potentially by the projects building on it. TON doesn’t seem to publish information about their financial spending so it’s unclear.

Where does this coin/token deserve to be on the list of top coins/tokens, if at all? In 2024, it’s climbed its way to the top 10 on CoinGecko by market cap. It’s as yet unclear if that is due to actual adoption or because of Telegram’s integration.What’s happened on Google trends about the coin/token/project? Uzbekistan, Ethiopia and Armenia are the top three locations searching for it. It has followed the general crypto bull market trends, interest piquing in 2021 and again in 2024.

[image of Google Trends, with link]

Technical Analysis

Data: CoinGecko, Dune, Tonscan Explorer, TON Stat

Native network: The Open Network – its own.

Token usage (to pay fees or just an asset): Originally GRAM token, now TON. TON is used for staking, governance, gas and payments.

Consensus mechanism: In Durov’s Whitepaper, it’s called a Block-Proof of Stake, which is a Byzantine Fault-Tolerant (BFT) variant of the PoS algorithm. However, in another paper by Durov he calls it a “Catchain Consensus protocol” that is a BFT protocol different from PoS in that it runs two consensus methods simultaneously. Each workchain can have its own consensus model.

Can it be purchased in Centralized Exchanges?: Yes, but not Binance or Coinbase. Bit2Me, Gate.io, and OKX are the top CEXes for TON.

Active addresses: 

Tokenomics

Is this coin/token on its own blockchain or a different blockchain? Its own, native utility token.

When was the initial token distribution? 

  • GRAM: January and February 2018
  • TON: July 2020 to June 2022

What was the form of the presale? 

  • GRAM: ICO – private sale of futures contracts amounting to $1.7b
  • TON: Pre-mined between 2020 and 2022

Was there/will there be a lockup period? If yes, for how long? 

  • The initial tokens (GRAM) were from the Telegram launch that didn’t work. The US SEC filed a restrictive order to prevent the distribution of Grams, which applied internationally because they couldn’t guarantee a resale to US citizens anonymously (since the entire platform was anonymous). Thus, the Gram coins were never released and the company agreed to pay an $18.5 million penalty and return $1.22 billion to Gram purchasers.
  • Over 1 billion TON from 171 pre-mined accounts was frozen for 48 months, but as of July 2024 have still not completed any transactions.
  • The TON Believers Fund created a locked smart contract that TON holders could choose to lock their tokens into for a period of five years, with the first two years being completely frozen and the following three years having a trickled release of 37 million TON every 30 days. The deposit period ended on October 23, 2023 and the release period will begin October 12, 2025.

Initial Coin Offering (ICO): 

  • Who received it? The team held 1.45%, with 98.55% being premined, but research from March 2023 has shown that 85% of the pre-mined tokens were done by members of the TON Foundation, and many of those accounts remain inactive.

What was the initial price of the coin/token? 

What was the initial liquidity of the coin/token? 5 billion. It’s important to note that most of that was locked up and remains inactive as of July 2024. The liquidity to market cap ratio has averaged between -2% and 2%, which means that there is not a good way to sell TON tokens without majorly impacting the market. In other words, liquidity is a problem.

Is there a limit to how many coins/tokens will be produced? No. Growth is approx. 0.6% per year and a burning mechanism burnt into fees and validator slashing.

Conclusion

Previously Telegram Open Network, this chain was renamed to The Open Network. It was originally created for the sake of monetizing the Telegram messaging app without advertising. 

Telegram funded the project from a token sale but the US SEC stopped them from distributing the token to the buyers as it was deemed an unregistered security. This halted the project in place, forced Telegram to pay back the buyers, and they had to stop development altogether. Before they stepped back from the project, they held a contest for independent developers to gain access to the code. In September 2019, the competition was won by Anatoliy Makosov and Kirill Emelyanenko. They, and a small team of volunteer devs, independently developed the network and the mainnet launched in May 2021. The code has changed significantly since Telegram’s time developing it, but the TON blockchain has integrated fully with the Telegram app.

We can picture the relationship between TON and Telegram to be rather like an app on the app store, where TON is an app and Telegram is the app store. The TON Foundation – the registered non-profit group that essentially manages marketing and development of TON, and acts as the centralized governance system – describe the relationship as Telegram using the TON blockchain as an independent third party, building on it without direct involvement with the Foundation. While the TON blockchain is technically separate from Telegram now, it is important to note some serious concerns about the Telegram messaging app, especially because of the inherent integration. A primary concern is that by default, the app continuously stores all contacts, messages and media with their decryption keys on its servers, and doesn’t enable (by default) end-to-end encryption for messages. This is primarily so users can access their data across devices, but it poses a major security risk for people who believe the app is private and secure. How does this apply to TON blockchain? Since the TON wallet was integrated directly into the wallet that was already on Telegram, there may be some privacy concerns with the data storage practices, but it’s unclear where the data is being stored – on the TON Blockchain, Telegram’s servers, or both.

A good question to ask is why TON decided to integrate with Telegram almost exclusively at this point. On an Unchained podcast in July 2024, the TON Foundation claimed that this was due to it being easier for user onboarding. They described it as “two taps to create the wallet in telegram and then one tap to open the mini-app.” They do note that devs don’t have to exclusively rely on Telegram – they can direct users off the app – but the initial user interaction is within the Telegram app. This is actually a fairly smart marketing strategy because there are over 900m users on Telegram already, and they don’t need to know that the mini-app or wallet they are interacting with is blockchain based. They don’t need to know how it works, just that it works.

We’ve mentioned mini-apps, but what are these? Basically, TON is set up as the layer 1 on top of which anyone can create a project that runs parallel to it. The most popular mini apps are games. The games’ on-boarding mechanics have been compared to FarmVille on Facebook where you would share your referral link with all your friends automatically; anyone playing one of these games on Telegram can share their referral link to all their contacts with a few clicks, so it’s incredibly easy to get more users involved. The TON Foundation is marketing this as a funnel to get users into web3, which it may well be but it’s too early yet to say if the users will actually go off Telegram into web3 native architecture or not. One concern is that these games are working with the strategy of building a community to raise funds before fully developing their projects – which isn’t necessarily a bad thing but there’s no guarantee that the in-game tokens–or even the TON coin–will have utility longer-term. So, sustainability is in question.

What about the effectiveness (speed and scalability) of the network? TON aims to be the fastest chain there is, which it would need to be to handle over 900m users at any given time. In October 2023, Certik and TON did a test of how many transactions per second (TPS) they could reach, and reportedly reached over 100k TPS. Despite this, as of June 2024, the average TPS for the network is only 175, which is lower than Solana, Sui, BSC, and Polygon. That may be because of volume – there may not have been enough transactions pinging the network to reach higher throughput – but it’s hard to say with the data we have. Live updates on TPS can be found on Tonscan.org.

The documentation on the TON Blockchain is scattered. The docs themselves point to the original whitepapers, but the TON Foundation stated in 2024 that the code/build changed dramatically since then; it’s not clear how it has changed, just that it supposedly has. The most coherent information was found to be written by third parties (news sites, Medium articles, Reddit posts, etc) off TON’s own website/documentation, so there is lack of consistency and it is uncertain if these can be trusted. As far as can be gathered about the technology itself, the most recent report that seems reliable (published by a Chainlink advisor) at time of publishing claims the following:

  • TON Blockchain now uses a Byzantine Fault Tolerant (BFT) Proof-of-Stake (PoS) consensus mechanism, but between 2020 and 2022 they used an “Initial Proof-of-Work (IPoW) mechanism to pre-mine the total token supply. (Their mining history is officially on ton.org) Approximately 85% of the pre-mined tokens minted by a small number of miners affiliated with the TON Foundation.
  • Validators are required to stake a minimum of 300,000 TON and receive block rewards and transaction fees, and are punished by losing some or all of their staked funds. The lost funds are either burned or given to the people who identified the bad behavior.
  • People can delegate funds to validators and receive a portion of the staking rewards.
  • Fees are paid by developers, similar to how Internet Computer Protocol does it, but there are fees paid by users (usually 0.005 TON) for specific services, such as storage fees and messaging fees.

The network requires the agreement of 66% of validators for any changes, which is a high number (most require 51% or even 33%), but it’s important to note that while the validators can vote on proposals at ton.vote, the votes are not binding and the TON Foundation ultimately decides what to enact or not. There is also evidence that approximately 66.9% of validators received funds from the pre-mined TON addresses likely controlled by the TON Foundation.

Overall adoption of the network was dramatically increased when it integrated with Telegram. Before February 2024, there were less than 5 million accounts on the network, and by July 2024 there are over 42 million. This rapid growth could show that integrating with Telegram is a good thing for the ecosystem, but it could also show that it isn’t necessarily sustainable – if Telegram goes down, people lose interest in the mini app games, or the games don’t end up growing into larger ecosystems, then the number of accounts could mean very little. There is a serious lack of liquidity with exchanges accounting for mostly less than 10% of the volume of trades, which tells us the majority of trades is likely happening within Telegram itself, and thus the ability to off-board is limited. Since most of the activity is within Telegram, and within the mini-apps, there is huge risk of scams since it’s so easy to get people to engage in the mini app with a single click.