Ethereum (ETH)

Date of Research: July 2024

Ethereum, the second major blockchain, gained traction with smart contracts and proof of stake, making ETH deflationary. The network is evolving with solutions for cheaper transactions and scalability. The approval of ETH ETFs raised concerns about centralization but has also brought more capital to the ecosystem. Risks in staking, with major players holding large amounts, and MEV issues are being addressed. Liquid staking offers benefits like more liquidity and cross-chain security, but also risks like centralization and smart contract vulnerabilities. Overall, the network is a healthy, thriving ecosystem that is here to stay for the long term, but it’s important to stay safe and know what you’re interacting with.

Fundamental Analysis

Website

https://ethereum.org/en/

Creation date: 2013-11-27, registered by Ethereum Foundation

Whitepaper

https://ethereum.org/en/whitepaper/

Team

Founding Team Members: Vitalik Buterin, Gavin Wood, Charles Hoskinson, Anthony Di Iorio, Joseph Lubin

  • Charles Hoskinson was removed from the Ethereum team in 2014 because he thought Ethereum should be commercial whereas Buterin thought it should be a nonprofit. He went on to start Cardano.
  • Vitalik Buterin has focused his work on open-source software, public goods funding, and general development of the space.
  • Gavin Wood was a research scientist at Microsoft before starting work on Ethereum. He helped develop the Solidity coding language that Ethereum uses, and defined the Ethereum Virtual Machine. He left the Ethereum Foundation in 2016 and founded Parity Technologies which further works on blockchain technology, and founded the Web3 Foundation nonprofit that developed the Polkadot network and the Kusama development environment.
  • Anthony Di Iorio founded the Bitcoin Alliance of Canada before his work with Ethereum. He founded the KryptoKit bitcoin wallet in 2013. He was the first chief digital officer of the Toronto Stock Exchange in 2016, and the same year he launched Jaxx, a platform that provides wallet services for both Bitcoin and Ethereum. He has since chosen to leave the crypto market due to “safety concerns”.
  • Joseph Lubin served as chief operating officer of Ethereum Switzerland GmbH (EthSuisse), which focused on programmable blockchains.In 2015, he founded ConsenSys, the company behind the Metamask wallet and other Ethereum-based software. He also does enterprise and government consulting.

Funding

Vitalik received a fellowship grant of US$100,000 from the Thiel Fellowship in 2014 and used it to fund research and development on Ethereum. After that, the project was crowd-funded.

Goals & Purpose

What is the goal of the project?

To create a scripting language and platform for application development on blockchains. From their Whitepaper: “What Ethereum intends to provide is a blockchain with a built-in fully fledged Turing-complete programming language that can be used to create “contracts” that can be used to encode arbitrary state transition functions, allowing users to create any of the systems described above, as well as many others that we have not yet imagined, simply by writing up the logic in a few lines of code.”

What problem is the project trying to solve?

Bitcoin served as a good transfer of value but couldn’t handle more complex software. Also, Bitcoin and blockchain technology in general set the basis for a code-based consensus protocol, but there wasn’t a way to fully implement it directly on the Bitcoin blockchain.

How do they plan to solve the problem?

By creating an independent blockchain with a unique coding language that could handle programmable code as well as act as a public ledger.

Feasibility

Is this a new idea or has it been done before?

At the time, other projects such as Namecoin and Colored coins existed which offered specific use-cases of programmability but this was limited. The idea of fully composable programmability was first developed by Ethereum.

Have they actually created the infrastructure/code/whatever is necessary for this idea, or is it still just an idea?

Definitely, it is the most successful smart-contract blockchain in the world with an ecosystem that trades over a $1b per day. As of July 2024, it holds over 60% dominance in the blockchain market.

Do you think other people would buy in?

The numbers speak for themselves; yes, they absolutely do buy in.

Audit & Security

The project is open-source and has been tested repeatedly for over ten years. You can view their code on their Github.

Sentimental Analysis

Social media: Ethereum Foundation X, Ethereum.org X, Discord

Social media creation date: Ethereum Foundation (2014), Ethereum.org (2019)

Is it active? Y

Are people talking about the project off its own pages? Y

Is what they’re saying good or bad? As with anything so popular, the sentiment is mixed between people that support the idea and technology, and those who are more “fundamentalist” and believe Bitcoin is the most secure and useful blockchain. But, generally speaking, the crypto community is bullish on Ethereum.

Are the people engaging with it paid to (promotors, influencers, sponsors etc)? The Ethereum Foundation does not pay for advertising. Some projects that build on Ethereum or EVM-compatible chains do.

Where does this coin/token deserve to be on the list of top coins/tokens, if at all? It is second on the list, and has earned its place there.

What’s happened on Google trends about the coin/token/project? The most interest was in 2021, at the peak of the last bull market. Interest has ramped up again in 2024 due to the public TradFi ETF filings and the mainstream media spending more time talking about it.

[image of Google Trends, with link]

Technical Analysis

Data: CoinGecko, Dune Ethereum Ecosystem Dashboard

Native network: Ethereum, its own.

Token usage (to pay fees or just an asset): Utility – gas, governance, exchange of value.

Consensus mechanism: Originally Ethereum was proof-of-work, but in September 2022 they changed it to proof-of-stake.

Can it be purchased in Centralized Exchanges?: Yes, all of them. And since the first decentralized exchanges were built on it, it is possible to purchase natively.

Active addresses: While tokens on Ethereum need smart contracts to define their properties and manage their operations, ETH is built into the Ethereum network itself and operates without a separate contract code. A list of ETH contract addresses on other chains can be found on CoinMarketCap.

Tokenomics

Is this coin/token on its own blockchain or a different blockchain? Its own, native utility token.

When was the initial token distribution? July 30, 2015

What was the form of the presale? Public sale

Was there/will there be a lockup period? If yes, for how long? No lockup period.

Initial Coin Offering (ICO): 72 million ETH

  • Who received it?
    • 83% (60m ETH) to crowd sale, 8.5% (6m ETH) to early contributors, 8.5% (6m ETH) to Ethereum Foundation
    • Proceeds from the sale funded development, research, legal expenses, and communications.

What was the initial price of the coin/token? $0.30 per ETH

What was the initial liquidity of the coin/token? As many people would buy it, up to a maximum of 18 million ETH.

Is there a limit to how many coins/tokens will be produced? No, but there is a max supply of 18 million ETH per year, and a dynamic issuance rate based on network activity.

Conclusion

The Ethereum network was the second blockchain to really gain traction, largely because of its new approach to smart contracts and programmable money. The transition to proof of stake turned the token deflationary as a burn mechanism was implemented (Ultra Sound Money tracks the burn rate, supply growth, issuance and other indicators, and lets you compare PoS to PoW). It’s not a perfect system, however, since much of the burn is actually done from gas fees, and gas fees have lowered significantly in 2024, not as much ETH is being burned. 

The roadmap for the project isn’t slowing down – the community is consistently proposing upgrades to achieve cheaper transactions, increased security, better user experience, and what they call “future proofing” which could include scalability and anticipating user needs. The ecosystem has the highest number of developers of all blockchains, and it’s estimated that over 85% of all blockchain devs have worked on EVM-compatible chains.

A common thought is that if Bitcoin is digital gold, Ethereum is the digital silver; though this isn’t exactly accurate, it does reflect the importance of both blockchains. Bitcoin has the strongest “digital cash” environment, and Ethereum has the strongest “world computer” environment that can also be monetized, which is a fundamental difference. The biggest challenge for Ethereum is scalability – they have great security and are further decentralizing every day (though read on for some thoughts about that), but have traditionally high fees that can be a barrier for regular every-day transactions and widespread adoption. The creation of layer 2s helped this, and an upgrade released in March 2024 included Proto-Danksharding (EIP-4844) that introduced temporary storage that further lowered fees on layer 2 rollups.

In summer of 2024, TradFi based ETH ETFs were approved, which has caused a larger inflow of capital into value of ETH, but its largely held but centralized organizations so actually poses a concern for the decentralization and possible control of the network. In addition, those assets aren’t liquid, so won’t be used to further ecosystem development. A Dune user has created a dashboard to track Ethereum ETF inflows.

Since staking is the basic way the network is secured, validated and processed, it’s important to keep in mind who is holding the most staked ETH and what that means. Another Dune dashboard tracks ETH stakers, and as of summer 2024 it is concerning that Lido and Coinbase together hold over 40% of staked ETH because between the two of them they could basically control the entire network. So far that hasn’t happened, but it is something to keep in mind if decentralization is a key concern. Staking in general requires a minimum of 32 ETH, which is part of why it’s so centralized, but the high minimum acts as a barrier to malicious entities, which is a tradeoff the ecosystem seems willing to make at this point. Another barrier is the high cost of the hardware needed to run a node, but solutions are being developed.

Something that could occur given this centralization risk (and often does), is MEV (miner or maximal extractable value) attacks, which are essentially when node operators reorder the transactions within a block to get lower fees or prioritize other transactions. In May 2024, Vitalik Buterin published a blog post addressing this issue and other related concerns. He outlined two strategies to tackle the MEV problem: (1) minimization, which is reducing MEV through smart protocol design, exemplified by platforms like CowSwap; and (2) quarantining, which is using in-protocol techniques to attempt to reduce or eliminate MEV altogether. 

A new development in the ecosystem is liquid staking and restaking, which some people are in favor of as it can help secure multiple networks rather than just one, and can increase liquidity in the ecosystem, but it also introduces new complexities and risks, such as further centralization of staked assets and issues with smart contract vulnerabilities. There are also often high minimum deposits and technical challenges, but some solutions to this include Verkle trees, lower staking minimums, and faster withdrawals. 

Overall, the Ethereum ecosystem includes thousands of decentralized applications, Decentralized Autonomous Organizations, and devs. This means that the ecosystem is constantly evolving and new genuine projects are coming out regularly, but it is also a hotbed for scams. If you are interested in participating in DeFi or other activities in the ecosystem, we strongly recommend that you start with well-known and trusted platforms like Uniswap, Aave, OpenSea, and make sure to understand what it is you are interacting with and how it works before signing any contracts! The ecosystem is likely to stick around for the foreseeable future, and unless the internet goes down altogether, we can be generally confident that the Ethereum network and EVM ecosystem at large will continue to be a thriving ecosystem and continue to change the possibilities of self-custody and programmability in a decentralized, secure manner.